FNUS73 KDLH 061615
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DURFEE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1115 AM CDT FRI APR 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH ADDITIONAL WARMING EXPECTED WITH AN ONSHORE
SOUTHEAST WIND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR. THIS WILL AFFECT THE MINIMUM
HUMIDITY AS WELL. ADJUSTMENTS HAVE BEEN MADE BASED ON CURRENT
OBSERVATION FROM THE FIRE AND ANTICIPATED CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18700) INCREASING TO FAIR (22200) EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (18700) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............47     48     50     48
RH..............43     34     34     39
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST.6      6      6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000) DECREASING TO POOR (2850).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............42     39     37     36     34     34
RH..............50     54     59     64     69     69
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST.6      6      6      6      7      7

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2250 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000) INCREASING TO GOOD (37550).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............34     42     48     50     49     48
RH..............72     57     49     48     54     58
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      SE     SE     SE     S
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      7      8      6      7
20 FT WIND GUST.8      8      13     15     10     12

$$
FORECASTER...GREG
REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120406.DURFE.01/DLH