FNUS73 KEAX 061312 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 2...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 812 AM CDT FRI APR 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING WAS PRODUCING A LIGHT EASTERLY WIND AT THE PROJECT SITE. WITH THE HIGH SLOWLY SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THIS MORNING...MOST LIKELY BY AROUND 10-11AM. AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS A BIT THIS AFTERNOON...LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME MORE MODERATE BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MIXING WILL OCCUR UP TO NEAR 4KFT THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE SOME GUSTS OF 18 TO 25 MPH. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 60S UNDER FULL SUNSHINE TODAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW RH VALUES TO FALL INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........9 10 10 11 11 11 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 60 62 64 64 64 63 RH..............40 36 34 34 35 36 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..15 16 16 17 17 17 16 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........12 16 25 33 39 41 42 49 63 77 88 96 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............61 59 56 54 52 51 51 50 49 49 49 50 RH..............44 48 53 58 61 63 65 69 73 76 78 79 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........98 94 87 79 71 63 59 53 42 31 20 9 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 52 54 57 60 63 65 66 66 66 65 64 RH..............78 76 72 68 63 59 56 50 47 44 43 42 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 16 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120406.UNIT2.01/EAX