FNUS73 KILX 070135 FWSILX SPOT FORECAST FOR KING PANTER WEST...SECOR FPD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN, IL 835 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO APPROACH CENTRAL ILLINOIS. MINIMAL PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH ANY SHOWERS/STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL EARLY EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS UNDER 10 MPH AT IGNITION TIME WILL TREND SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON AROUND 15 MPH DURING PEAK HEATING. MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASING TO AROUND 5000 FEET DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION BY AFTERNOON...THOUGH THEY SHOULD STILL BE PRETTY LOW...AROUND 1000 FEET...AT IGNITION TIME. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT DURING PEAK DAYTIME HEATING...BUT MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL KEEP HUMIDITIES FROM FALLING AS LOW AS THEY WERE TODAY. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 4900-5100 FT AGL DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR AT IGNITION TIME INCREASING TO GOOD TO VERY GOOD BY LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 28 20 28 35 49 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................40 43 52 59 64 67 RH..................78 72 55 44 37 34 20 FT WIND..........SE 5 S 5 S 8 S 8 S 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......SE 4 S 4 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 EYE LEVEL GUST......10 10 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........BLW100 900 2900 3900 4600 4900 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 6 S 10 S 17 S 18 S 20 S 21 CWR.................0 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 9 51 72 90 101 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD EARLY DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 79 80 46 29 15 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP................65 60 55 53 50 48 RH..................38 54 71 81 87 81 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 NW 4 EYE LEVEL GUST......20 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........5100 4000 1800 900 600 400 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 18 W 17 W 17 NW 15 NW 14 N 15 CWR.................10 30 30 30 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...93 69 30 13 8 6 $$ FORECASTER...BAK REQUESTED BY...DAVID CASHION TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120407.KINGP.01/ILX