FNUS73 KLOT 071107 FWSLOT SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIANA TOLLESTON...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 607 AM CDT SAT APR 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN MICHIGAN PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EASTWARD TODAY. WINDS WILL START OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND BACK TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS LESS THAN 15 MPH. MIN HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE...AS TEMPERATURES GET INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S TODAY. RIGHT ALONG THE LAKE SHORE...TEMPS WILL BE NEAR 60 AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE NEAR 30 PERCENT. NO LAKE BREEZE IS EXPECTED TODAY THANKS TO THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR TONIGHT. A WETTING RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED. WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND BE STRONGER TOMORROW. SUSTAINED 20 FT WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED BE BELOW 20 MPH AGAIN TOMORROW...HOWEVER WIND GUSTS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. MIN HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 20S ALONG THE LAKE TOMORROW...WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /49400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY GOOD /122100 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........16 21 25 33 40 47 54 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 60 61 63 63 64 64 63 RH..............34 31 29 29 30 30 31 34 20FT WIND DIR...170 180 190 190 190 200 200 200 20FT SPEED(MPH).6 7 9 9 9 8 8 8 20FT SPEED(KT)..6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 20FT GUST(MPH)..14 17 20 21 22 22 21 17 20FT GUST(KT)...12 15 17 18 19 19 18 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.8 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 4.6 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.170 180 190 190 190 190 200 200 TRANSP WIND SPD.20 24 26 28 26 25 24 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/100049 83 111 121 122 119 119 115 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLEAR. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY BETWEEN 9 AND 11 PM. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD (1200-102600 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........67 70 73 79 84 82 80 59 39 18 17 15 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............63 62 60 59 57 56 55 53 51 49 47 46 RH..............36 39 44 47 55 59 64 69 74 77 76 73 20FT WIND DIR...210 210 210 210 230 260 280 280 300 310 310 310 20FT SPEED(MPH).7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20FT SPEED(KT)..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..14 13 14 16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 13 20FT GUST(KT)...12 11 12 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 11 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.210 210 210 210 230 260 270 280 300 310 310 310 TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 22 21 20 18 18 20 20 20 18 CWR.............20 20 30 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/1000103 72 37 12 11 22 31 26 18 10 3 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300-9600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 6500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (9200-240400 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........13 12 10 9 10 10 11 17 23 29 34 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............46 50 51 55 59 63 66 66 65 64 62 59 RH..............65 56 54 45 36 30 25 24 25 25 27 32 20FT WIND DIR...310 310 310 310 310 310 310 300 290 290 280 280 20FT SPEED(MPH).6 6 6 7 8 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 20FT SPEED(KT)..5 6 6 6 7 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..14 15 16 18 21 23 24 24 23 22 21 18 20FT GUST(KT)...12 13 14 16 18 20 21 21 20 19 18 16 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 2.1 3.6 5.1 6.5 7.9 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 6.5 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.310 310 310 310 310 310 300 300 290 290 280 280 TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 21 22 25 28 29 26 23 20 18 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 VRATE KT-FT/10009 30 62 101 155 207 240 240 217 176 118 54 $$ FORECASTER...ENDERLEN REQUESTED BY...CHAD BLADOW TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120407.INDIA.01/LOT