FNUS71 KCTP 082115 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FD3...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY/DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 515 PM EDT SUN APR 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1644 EDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 8PM TODAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA MONDAY. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL PA AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION TEMPERATURES WILL BE DECREASING AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING. THIS WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO RISE THROUGH THE 30 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT... BUT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED THIS EVENING. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 38 MPH...BECOMING WEST 23 TO 26 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............77 74 65 55 51 41 32 23 14 9 9 13 15 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................57 56 54 52 51 50 49 48 46 45 43 42 41 RH..................28 30 33 35 36 38 39 42 45 48 52 55 59 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......17 18 20 20 18 18 17 16 16 15 14 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......7.9 7.3 6.5 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.3 4.3 3.1 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....33 35 37 38 38 37 36 33 31 30 26 24 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 17 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8900-10300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 36 TO 41 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 38 TO 47 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO AROUND 33 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............22 43 43 43 57 57 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................41 42 48 53 56 56 RH..................59 58 45 37 32 32 20 FT WIND..........W 13 W 14 W 20 W 23 W 23 W 22 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 30 30 35 30 MIX HGT (FT)........500 1400 5500 8900 10200 9900 TRANSPORT WIND......W 24 W 30 W 41 W 47 W 45 W 38 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 10 20 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...ADAM KLINE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120408.FD3__.01/CTP