FNUS75 KGJT 081459
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMPSON CREEK FIRE...CARBONDALE RURAL FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
859 AM MDT SUN APR 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0826 MDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA WITH MODERATE
WINDS ALOFT FROM THE WEST. EXPECT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY. CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW RAPID WARMING TODAY...BURNING OFF
THE MORNING SURFACE INVERSION BY ABOUT 10 AM. SURFACE WINDS WILL
BE THE NORMAL SLOPE AND VALLEY WINDS FOR THE FIRE SITE OVERNIGHT
AND DURING THE MORNING. THIS AFTERNOON EXPECT OCCASIONAL GUSTS
FROM THE WEST AS THE WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW THE SURFACE INVERSION TO REDEVELOP AFTER
DARK TONIGHT. MONDAY SHOULD SEE VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM TODAY
EXCEPT TEMPERATURES WILL BE 2 TO 3 DEGREES WARMER AND RH A FEW
PERCENTAGE POINTS DRIER. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE LIGHTER AND WESTERLY
GUSTS AT THE SURFACE ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (MAINLY SOUTH) 3-5 MPH UNTIL
                    10 AM, THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 13 MPH FROM THE WEST
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 10 AM, THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 2 PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 10 AM, THEN INCREASING TO
                    15000 FT AGL BY 3 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 10 AM, THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO
                    13 MPH FROM THE WEST UNTIL DARK, THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 8 PM, THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING TO
                    POOR BY 11 PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL UNTIL 8 PM, THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING
                    TO 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH UNTIL 8 PM, THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/ DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 10 AM, THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUST TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 10 AM, THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 2 PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 10 AM INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL
                    ABOUT 2 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 10 AM, THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...RON LEACH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120408.THOMP.01/GJT