FNUS71 KRNK 082323 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR BARBOURS CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 723 PM EDT SUN APR 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1852 EDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY EVENING WILL DIMINISH INTO THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE OVERNIGHT...BUT REMAIN HIGHER THAN TYPICALLY COMMON FOR NIGHTTIME HOURS. A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK WILL SEND A STRONG...YET DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT ACROSS THIS REGION AND DRY FUELS OF 7 PERCENT 10-HR FUEL MOISTURE OR LESS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY. WHILE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE RULE...CONSIDERABLY LOWER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETARD THE FIRE THREAT SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER... WITH DRY FUELS REMAINING IN PLACE...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BE NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS ONCE AGAIN AND THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR FUTURE ENHANCED FIRE DANGER...FIRE WEATHER WATCHES...OR RED FLAG WARNINGS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH...GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL BY 10 PM EDT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............50 49 48 44 39 33 27 23 19 18 18 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................65 61 59 55 52 49 47 46 45 44 43 43 RH..................27 28 32 35 40 44 44 44 43 43 43 43 20 FT WIND DIR......W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 12 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 30 25 20 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......5 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............21 23 26 26 28 30 34 40 45 47 49 51 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 40 42 45 49 52 54 55 57 58 59 60 RH..................44 46 41 37 34 31 29 28 26 25 25 24 20 FT WIND DIR......NW W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 9 9 10 6 7 8 10 10 10 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 25 25 25 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.....NW W W W W W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.....6 6 7 7 7 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 20 25 25 25 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...BEASLEY REQUESTED BY...HAROLD SUTHERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120408.BARBO.02/RNK