FNUS71 KCTP 091002 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD EAGLE WSG...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY/DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 602 AM EDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... ANOTHER WINDY DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE REGION. WHILE A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN RAIN FREE. FINE FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT LATER TODAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT POSSIBLE THAT WILD FIRES AND EVEN PRESCRIBED BURNS MAY SPREAD RAPIDLY. .TODAY... LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 10600-11700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 23 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 31 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 41 TO 49 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 43 TO 51 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 38 TO 40 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM MIX HGT (FT)........5900 9100 9700 11400 TRANSPORT WIND......W 41 NW 51 W 45 W 40 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800-11100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 31 TO 37 MPH...DECREASING TO 8 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............65 71 68 65 62 64 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 49 47 45 43 40 RH..................28 39 45 50 54 60 20 FT WIND..........W 15 W 9 W 7 W 6 W 6 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........11100 8000 2800 BLW100 300 400 TRANSPORT WIND......W 37 W 31 W 20 W 12 W 8 W 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 3 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6800-8600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 29 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............68 70 70 70 72 72 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 38 42 44 46 48 RH..................65 62 55 48 45 41 20 FT WIND..........W 9 W 12 W 15 W 18 W 20 W 18 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........900 2500 6800 8600 7500 8200 TRANSPORT WIND......W 21 W 25 NW 24 NW 24 NW 26 W 29 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LACORTE REQUESTED BY...MIKE BECKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120409.BALDE.01/CTP