FNUS71 KCTP 091014 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR HALDEMAN ISLAND...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 614 AM EDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... ANOTHER WINDY DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE REGION. WHILE A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN RAIN FREE. FINE FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT LATER TODAY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT POSSIBLE THAT WILD FIRES AND EVEN PRESCRIBED BURNS MAY SPREAD RAPIDLY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 10900-11300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 36 TO 44 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 37 TO 46 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............33 43 50 57 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................51 57 62 62 RH..................43 35 28 28 20 FT WIND..........W 17 W 22 W 23 W 20 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 35 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)........6200 9800 10200 11300 TRANSPORT WIND......W 36 NW 46 W 40 W 37 LAL.................1 1 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 TO 33 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............65 72 69 66 64 66 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ISOLTD TEMP................60 53 50 48 46 43 RH..................30 42 48 52 56 62 20 FT WIND..........W 14 W 8 W 7 W 6 W 7 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........9700 5600 1700 BLW100 300 100 TRANSPORT WIND......W 33 W 28 W 15 W 7 SW 7 W 8 LAL.................2 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6800-8500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............68 70 70 70 65 65 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 41 45 49 51 53 RH..................68 63 53 45 41 37 20 FT WIND..........W 9 W 12 W 15 W 18 W 21 W 18 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........900 3100 6800 8500 7800 7500 TRANSPORT WIND......W 15 W 25 NW 24 NW 23 W 25 W 26 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LACORTE REQUESTED BY...STEVEN BERNARDI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120409.HALDE.01/CTP