FNUS73 KDDC 091115 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR HU 60S...USFWS-QUIVIRA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 615 AM CDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL WILL BE VERY LOW TODAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL STAY IN THE 50 TO 70 PERCENT RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS WITH LOW CLOUDS REMAINING IN PLACE. HUMIDITY COULD FALL BRIEFLY TO 40-50 PERCENT BY 3-5 PM. COOL AND MOIST CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH PREVAILING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. NOTE THAT LOW STRATUS AND/OR DENSE FOG WILL BE MOVING NORTH THIS MORNING AND COULD MAKE IT INTO QUIVERA BY 7 AM BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING DISSIPATES IT BY 10-11 AM. BUT THE LOW STRATUS COULD BE SLOW TO ERODE AND MAY NOT DO SO UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. AS OF 6 AM THE EDGE OF THE FOG AND STRATUS WAS ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF QUIVERA WITH VISIBILITIES AS LOW WAS 1/8 TO 1/4 OF A MILE AT ST. JOHN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........27 44 65 74 79 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............50 59 64 66 67 RH..............96 75 63 56 56 20 FT WIND......S 8 E 12 E 15 SE 13 SE 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 E 10 E 12 SE 10 SE 10 WIND GUST..10 15 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........82 78 78 78 52 52 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 62 56 54 52 50 RH..............54 65 74 77 74 74 20 FT WIND......SE 10 E 9 E 9 E 10 E 12 E 12 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 8 E 7 E 7 E 8 E 10 E 10 WIND GUST.. 10 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........52 51 50 50 49 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 53 59 63 66 66 RH..............74 61 47 44 40 42 20 FT WIND......E 12 E 14 E 15 E 14 SE 13 SE 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 10 E 11 E 12 E 11 SE 10 SE 10 WIND GUST..15 20 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...FINCH REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120409.HU60S.01/DDC