FNUS73 KDMX 091319 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE LAKE HOGSBACK...IOWA DNR FIRE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 819 AM CDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... SUNNY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS MIXING INCREASES THIS MORNING. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH QUITE LOW HUMIDITY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES OUT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................28 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 28 TO 35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18000 KNOT-FT) THIS MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (161200-200300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........18 17 15 14 15 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............54 55 56 57 56 54 RH..............28 26 25 24 25 27 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..22 23 24 24 23 21 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.16 16 17 17 16 15 EYE LVL WND GST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...6.2 6.6 7.0 7.3 6.9 6.6 MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..35 35 33 31 30 28 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (27200-136800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (1400-2000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........17 18 19 20 20 20 WEATHER COV..... AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FROST FROST TSTM COV........ TEMP............52 44 40 37 33 31 RH..............29 39 46 50 58 63 20 FT WIND......NW 18 N 14 N 10 N 9 N 7 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 13 N 10 N 7 N 6 N 5 NW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.25 25 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6200 2200 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......NW 25 N 14 N 8 N 8 NW 7 NW 6 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1800-48100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (88800-139000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...RYAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120409.PINEL.01/DMX