FNUS74 KLZK 091125 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR STEVENS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 625 AM CDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY ALTHOUGH A FEW SPRINKLES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT OVER THE PROPOSED BURN AREA. OTHERWISE SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH MINIMAL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NO WIDESPREAD OR HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL POSSIBLY SUNDAY WHEN THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT APPROACHES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5400 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 68 70 71 72 73 72 RH..............68 64 62 60 58 57 58 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 3 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.1 4 4 4 4 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.1 2 2 2 2 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.1 2 3 3 3 3 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............72 70 68 66 64 63 62 61 60 60 59 58 RH..............60 64 69 74 78 80 82 84 87 88 90 91 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SE SE E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE E E NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 0 TO 2 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............58 57 59 62 65 67 69 71 72 72 73 72 RH..............92 93 87 80 74 70 66 63 61 59 57 58 20 FT WIND DIR..E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)...BECOMING 5900 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E NE NE N N NW NW N E SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 3 4 4 4 3 2 1 2 2 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 $$ FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120409.STEVE.01/LZK