FNUS73 KPAH 082123 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TNCMR1...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 423 PM CDT SUN APR 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OTHER THAN A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE HEARTLAND FROM NOW THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY MOVE IN ON THURSDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE HEARTLAND THROUGH MID WEEK. LOCAL WIND GUSTS 15 TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...WHICH WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER BOTH DAYS. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3100-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON... THEN DECREASING TO 2400-5000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 56 60 64 66 68 70 70 70 68 RH..............68 60 52 45 39 36 31 29 30 33 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 3.1 4.3 5.3 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.3 5.0 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 20 22 24 24 25 26 24 20 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 57 52 49 45 43 RH..............38 49 59 64 66 68 20 FT WIND......NW 5 W 4 NW 4 NW 5 N 5 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 200 100 200 200 500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 W 5 W 5 N 8 N 15 N 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 52 58 61 RH..............67 43 31 29 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 6G10 NW 8G20 NW 10G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 4000 5500 5900 TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 20 NW 22 NW 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MINOR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120409.TNCMR.01/PAH