FNUS71 KRNK 091546 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR COVE MTN FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1146 AM EDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1129 EDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WILL SEND ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE REGION WILL DROP INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PART OF WEST VIRGINIA...RANGING DOWNWARD TO 15 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS THE PIEDMONT REGIONS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH DRY FUELS TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE NEW RIVER VALLEY EAST TO THE PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA...AND ACROSS ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY...USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BY MID WEEK...ALONG WITH A GOOD THREAT FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS...INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 37 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 37 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 12 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............15 18 28 31 33 33 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 64 66 68 69 70 71 RH..................29 25 23 21 20 20 19 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......7 9 10 12 13 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 25 30 30 30 35 EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.....5 7 8 9 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 20 25 30 30 30 35 MIX HGT (KFT).......5.9 6.8 7.8 8.7 8.9 9.2 9.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....28 30 30 31 32 35 37 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32 TO 39 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32 TO 39 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............36 38 41 46 49 48 37 23 15 18 29 42 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................70 65 61 59 57 54 53 51 50 49 48 47 RH..................20 23 28 31 34 38 42 46 50 51 52 51 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......13 12 11 10 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 25 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.....10 9 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....30 30 25 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......8.8 8.1 7.4 6.2 5.0 3.9 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W NW NW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....38 39 39 38 36 32 28 22 17 13 12 13 CWR.................0 10 10 10 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH...INCREASING TO 32 TO 36 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH...INCREASING TO 32 TO 36 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............42 42 42 39 33 30 35 35 49 49 49 51 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 43 44 47 49 52 53 55 56 57 57 58 RH..................53 54 49 45 41 37 34 31 29 27 25 23 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......6 7 8 10 11 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.....5 5 6 7 8 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.9 7.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W NW NW W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....18 26 32 36 36 36 36 35 33 33 33 32 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WERT REQUESTED BY...TIFFANY PURCELL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120409.COVEM.01/RNK