FNUS71 KOKX 092042 FWSOKX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTHEASTERN GRASSLAND RX...NYS-DEC FOREST RANGERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 442 PM EDT MON APR 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY FINE FUELS WILL CREATE AN ENHANCED RISK FOR BRUSH FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD ON TUESDAY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A WETTING RAINFALL OCCURRING AT ANY POINT OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY...WITH A THUNDERSTORM EVEN POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE MID 30S BY LATE MORNING...AND THEN INTO THE UPPER 20S IN THE AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE IN THE RANGE OF 20 TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO GUST AT THIS INTENSITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 59. RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 12800-14500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 10500-12400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............63 66 65 64 63 61 60 59 61 64 67 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................42 47 50 53 55 57 58 59 59 58 58 RH..................62 51 44 38 35 33 32 32 32 33 33 20 FT WIND DIR......250 260 260 270 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 20 FT WIND SPD......4 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 11 11 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 CWR.................10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-9900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............70 73 75 75 74 73 72 71 70 69 68 67 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 54 51 49 47 45 44 42 40 39 38 37 RH..................35 38 44 48 51 55 55 60 64 67 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR......280 280 280 290 290 290 300 300 300 300 300 290 20 FT WIND SPD......11 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 20 20 20 15 10 10 10 10 10 15 CWR.................20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...NV REQUESTED BY...FOREST RANGER BRYAN GALLAGHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120410.NORTH.01/OKX