FNUS73 KPAH 101810 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR MANTLE ROCK...TNCKYFO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 110 PM CDT TUE APR 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST AND AVERAGE 8 TO 13 MPH AT BURN IGNITION TIME. A GUST TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON COULD STILL OCCUR AS LATE AS 5 PM...BUT GUSTS WILL BE WANING DURING THE EVENING HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL NOT HAVE RECOVERED MUCH FROM THE MID AFTERNOON MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER TEENS PERCENTILE...PROBABLY WILL STILL BE RUNNING IN THE LOWER 20S PERCENTILE AT BURN IGNITION TIME. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT JUST TO THE EAST OF THE PROPOSED BURN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) EARLY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................21 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. A GUST TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 60 RH..............21 24 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 4.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 CWR.............0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FROST FROST TEMP............57 49 44 41 37 35 RH..............28 39 45 51 55 52 20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 4 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 2700 1300 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 21 NW 22 NW 24 NW 24 N 25 N 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60. RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 47 55 59 RH..............52 34 26 26 20 FT WIND......N 4G5 N 6G10 N 6G10 N 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2600 5000 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..N 25 N 21 N 17 N 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MINOR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120410.MANTL.02/PAH