FNUS75 KRIW 101510
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTER MTN  RX...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
910 AM MDT TUE APR 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD TODAY. ON WEDNESDAY...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL  MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA LATE IN THE DAY
RESULTING IN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POTENTIAL A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AREA BY
LATE AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE WEDNESDAY EVENING ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS AS
THE SYSTEM PASSES OVERHEAD.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...HATTINGS

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY INCREASING TO 7-14 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (20000-42000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO
                    15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400-24100 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15
                    MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-9600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (145000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 19 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 16 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...HATTINGS
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS BRATEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120410.CARTE.01/RIW