FNUS74 KBMX 112039
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUMP CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
339 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CDT ON APRIL 11.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TONIGHT. A DRY AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE WITH MANY
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE AREA REPORTING RH VALUES AT OR BELOW 25 PERCENT.
THESE CONDITIONS COUPLED WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE CREATED HIGH FIRE
DANGER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. AFTER 6 PM...RH VALUES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
AND WINDS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN. PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER COULD ALSO BE AN ISSUE AGAIN ON THURSDAY. THE DRY AIR MASS WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP RH VALUES AT OR BELOW 25 PERCENT. HOWEVER...SURFACE WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER TOMORROW AFTERNOON. INTERESTS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS AND WEATHER CONDITIONS...BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP............66     53     47     43     42     39
RH..............24     46     66     73     74     77
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 7    N 5    NE 3   NE 3   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   1000   300    200    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..340/16 350/13 010/9  020/7  030/7  050/7
DISPERSION......54     17     4      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     43     57     61     64     67
RH..............76     63     38     31     28     25
20 FT WIND......NE 2   E 3    E 5    E 5    NE 2   N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1600   4900   6000   6300   6000
TRANSPORT WIND..060/6  070/7  080/8  070/6  070/2  080/1
DISPERSION......3      3      4      38     16     8

$$
FORECASTER...ANDERSON
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120411.MUMPC.02/BMX