FNUS71 KLWX 111006 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF GAP...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 606 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0553 EDT ON APRIL 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND FUEL MOISTURE REMAINS VERY LOW. THE COMBINATION OF COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH LIMITED MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL KEEP THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY HIGHER THIS AFTERNOON COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS. ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH COLD AIR FOR POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS. ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT AND IT WILL LIKELY PROVIDE LITTLE RELIEF TO THE LOW FUEL MOISTURE. SURFACE WIND GUSTS AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...BUT THE HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PREVENT METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FROM MEETING RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA. HAVE MENTIONED AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT IN A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR TODAY DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TONIGHT DUE TO THE LOSS OF THE DEEP MIXING LAYER. BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY. AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT IS LIKELY...BUT WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE BELOW FIRE WEATHER WATCH/RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA. MORE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. BREEZY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600-7900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 82 82 81 81 75 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSN RNSN RNSN TEMP............30 33 37 41 43 43 RH..............81 72 56 48 47 47 20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 11 NW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 4 NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 8 NW 9 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 15 20 25 30 30 CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-6100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 26 TO 31 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 62 53 42 34 32 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSN NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 40 38 36 35 34 RH..............48 52 62 69 72 72 20 FT WIND......NW 10 NW 10 NW 9 NW 8 NW 7 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 8 NW 8 NW 7 NW 6 NW 5 NW 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..25 25 20 15 15 15 CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 28 29 29 30 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............33 36 42 47 49 50 RH..............82 67 50 40 37 36 20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 6 NW 8 NW 9 NW 10 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 5 NW 5 NW 6 NW 7 NW 7 NW 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 10 20 20 20 20 CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...LASORSA REQUESTED BY...JAY COLLETT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120411.WOLFG.01/LWX