FNUS73 KMPX 111336
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STONEY RUN 11PB...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
836 AM CDT WED APR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON APRIL 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER WESTERN
MINNESOTA...AND THIS IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CLEAR SKIES ALL
ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS MORNING. THE OBSERVED WESTERLY WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND LIKELY BECOME CALM/VARIABLE AS THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING.
THEN THE WINDS WILL SHIFT AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY BY
THIS EVENING...WITH SPEEDS THIS MORNING UNDER 5 MPH...INCREASING CLOSER
TO 10 MPH BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL AGAIN FALL TO AROUND
20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE LIGHT WIND WILL LIMIT THE FIRE SPREAD
POTENTIAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................27 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-16300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     46     49     50     47     41
RH..............33     27     23     22     26     37
20 FT WIND......NE 2   E 3    SE 4   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2600-20000).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3300-37400) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (58300-78900) LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BOLDUAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120411.STONE.01/MPX