FNUS75 KMSO 111618
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTY GULCH 104
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1018 AM MDT WED APR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON APRIL 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING AND
INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE AFTERNOON WILL BE SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAYS VALUES. LOTS OF HIGH CLOUDS...ELEVATED RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...WARM TEMPERATURES AND NOT MUCH WIND THROUGH MID-
AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION IS NOT EXPECTED TO MIX OUT
UNTIL MID-AFTERNOON. THEN CONDITIONS WILL CHANGE QUICKLY AS A
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 1600-1700 MDT...WHEN THE
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS COME INTO
PLAY.

.CONDITIONS AT IGNITION 1300 MDT...

SKY/WEATHER.........LOTS OF HIGH CLOUDS...FILTERED SUNSHINE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........61-63.
HUMIDITY............40-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-5 MPH WITH GUSTS 7 MPH.

.REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH.
                    AFTER 1600 MDT...SOUTH 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                           TO 30 MPH WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS. EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MSJ
REQUESTED BY...PFISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120411.SHORT.01/MSO