FNUS75 KTFX 111813
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGUM...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1213 PM MDT WED APR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THERE
WILL BE A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE BURN AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF RAIN
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND IT WILL BE COOLER.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....5000 FT 70-75.
                    6800 FT 65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........5000 FT 21-26 PERCENT.
                    6800 FT 25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........5000 FT SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
                    6800 FT SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....5000 FT 33-38.
                    6800 FT 38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........5000 FT 85-90 PERCENT.
                    6800 FT 80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........5000 FT SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    6800 FT WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......BECOMING WEST 25 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BUT SNOW SHOWERS AT 6800 FT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON BUT A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS AT 6800 FT.
CWR.................45 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....5000 FT 45-50.
                    6800 FT 35-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........5000 FT 35-40 PERCENT.
                    6800 FT 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........5000 FT WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
                    6800 FT WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 40 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BLANK
REQUESTED BY...ANN SPEER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120411.HOGUM.01/TFX