FNUS73 KDMX 120433 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BARRINGER SLOUGH...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1133 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF A WARM FRONT HEADING TOWARD THE STATE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY AS MIXING INCREASES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 7 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............53 43 40 36 33 32 RH..............22 35 41 52 61 66 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........23 31 46 54 63 72 77 79 82 85 88 91 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ TEMP............31 35 40 43 47 49 52 52 54 55 55 55 RH..............72 64 57 53 47 48 44 46 46 47 49 53 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 12 14 16 15 14 14 16 18 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 20 25 20 20 20 20 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 10 11 11 10 10 11 13 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 15 15 20 25 20 20 20 20 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.0 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE MIXNG WIND SPD..8 10 14 17 18 20 20 21 21 22 23 23 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (44200-61300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........92 95 98 99 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............54 51 49 48 RH..............57 66 74 80 20 FT WIND......SE 20G25 SE 15G20 SE 15G20 SE 15G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 14G25 SE 11G20 SE 11G20 SE 11G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2500 2100 1700 MIXNG WIND......SE 24 SE 28 SE 32 SE 32 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (41800-54700 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 96 91 88 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............47 55 62 65 RH..............83 72 62 58 20 FT WIND......SE 15G20 S 15G20 S 12G15 S 12G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 11G20 S 11G20 S 9G15 S 9G15 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 2500 3200 3200 MIXNG WIND......S 29 S 24 S 20 S 17 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...DAN PAULSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120412.BARRI.01/DMX