FNUS73 KDMX 120935 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGSBACK-TENOLD...IA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 435 AM CDT THU APR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN IOWA WILL MOVE EAST TODAY WITH AN INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TO THE WEST THIS MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY SPREAD INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-44900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........11 15 18 20 25 34 44 53 62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............43 47 50 53 55 58 59 59 58 RH..............41 38 36 35 34 30 30 32 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 12 14 15 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 7 9 10 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND GST.10 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.7 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 14 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4000-45000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........67 75 85 93 95 98 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............58 54 52 50 49 48 RH..............34 41 48 58 68 74 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 SE 18 SE 18 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 20 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1300 300 300 400 700 MIXNG WIND......S 15 SE 17 SE 20 SE 21 SE 18 SE 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (25000-67700 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 98 97 90 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............47 52 56 58 RH..............76 77 69 72 20 FT WIND......SE 20G30 S 18G25 S 18G25 S 15G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 14G30 S 13G25 S 13G25 S 11G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2600 2600 2600 MIXNG WIND......SE 25 S 30 S 26 S 23 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER REQUESTED BY...TODD WALROD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120412.HOGSB.01/DMX