FNUS73 KDMX 112206 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE RED ROCK...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 506 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF A WARM FRONT HEADING TOWARD THE STATE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY AS MIXING INCREASES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-23200 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 2 5 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FROST FROST FROST TSTM COV........ TEMP............56 48 42 38 35 32 RH..............23 33 44 54 64 72 20 FT WIND......NE 3 E 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 2 E 1 E 1 SE 1 SE 2 SE 2 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5800 2100 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......E 5 SE 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 HAINES INDEX....5 6 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD (50000 KNOT-FT) BY AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........8 12 20 29 37 45 49 52 59 66 72 79 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............32 38 45 52 53 53 54 56 58 59 59 59 RH..............75 62 49 39 39 41 41 40 39 40 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 10 13 14 13 13 12 12 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 7 9 10 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST. 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.4 2.6 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.6 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..5 7 10 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........83 88 94 96 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............58 54 52 50 RH..............47 59 66 74 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (35800-75200 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........99 92 86 88 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............49 57 62 65 RH..............77 69 67 68 20 FT WIND......SE 16G20 S 17G25 S 17G25 S 15G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 11G20 S 12G25 S 12G25 S 11G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2900 3100 3500 MIXNG WIND......SE 25 S 30 S 25 S 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...HUGH HOWE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120412.LAKER.01/DMX