FNUS73 KDMX 120427 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SEDGE WREN...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1127 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF A WARM FRONT HEADING TOWARD THE STATE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY AS MIXING INCREASES. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........0 0 3 5 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE FROST FROST FROST TSTM COV........ TEMP............41 38 35 33 RH..............46 54 64 69 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD (50000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........9 15 26 32 41 50 54 57 63 69 75 81 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............32 37 42 46 49 52 55 56 58 59 59 59 RH..............75 64 55 49 46 43 40 40 39 40 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 9 12 13 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 6 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 EYE LVL WND GST. 10 15 15 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.3 2.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.5 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..5 7 10 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 2 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 24 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (16900-45100 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........84 89 94 96 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............58 54 52 50 RH..............47 59 69 77 20 FT WIND......SE 12G15 SE 14G20 SE 16G20 SE 15G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 9G15 SE 10G20 SE 11G20 SE 11G20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1000 1700 1600 MIXNG WIND......S 16 SE 20 SE 21 SE 24 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (32100-74200 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........98 92 85 87 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............49 57 62 65 RH..............80 69 67 68 20 FT WIND......SE 15G20 S 16G20 S 17G25 S 14G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 11G20 S 11G20 S 12G25 S 10G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 3000 3000 3600 MIXNG WIND......SE 24 S 29 S 23 S 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...COGIL REQUESTED BY...JIM KRIZMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120412.SEDGE.01/DMX