FNUS73 KFGF 121231 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR BJUGSTAD EAST...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 731 AM CDT THU APR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL SEE INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS. THE BURN AREA WILL REMAIN DRY...BUT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN HELPING PRODUCE THE WINDY CONDITIONS. INITIAL TEMPERATURE RISES WILL HELP LOWER RH VALUES INTO THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE...BUT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RH VALUES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES AND SOUTHEAST WIND FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT BY LATE MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 37 TO 38 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........57 63 68 72 77 82 86 90 93 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ TEMP............48 51 54 55 56 56 55 54 52 RH..............47 43 39 37 38 40 43 46 52 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..13 16 18 19 20 21 21 20 19 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 30 TO 39 MPH DECREASING TO 28 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........95 96 95 93 94 96 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP............51 48 46 46 45 44 RH..............56 68 76 83 86 93 20 FT WIND......SE 18 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 SE 13 SE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 20 25 20 20 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62. MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........98 98 95 85 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP............44 50 55 59 RH..............96 77 64 55 20 FT WIND......SE 13G20 S 13G20 S 12G20 SW 10G15 $$ FORECASTER...HOPKINS REQUESTED BY...ZAC THOMPSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120412.BJUGS.02/FGF