FNUS73 KMPX 121309
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOSTER CREEK...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
809 AM CDT THU APR 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CENTER ITSELF OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...LEADING TO
A WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW TODAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY WITH RH VALUES DOWN IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS
WILL BE NO HIGHER THAN 10 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM
ARRIVES FROM THE PLAINS TONIGHT. TODAY WILL BE THE LAST RAIN-FREE
DAY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL
PROGRESS THROUGH THE REGION...BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2100-51600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (55900-67400) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     47     55     61     62     61
RH..............61     42     32     28     28     32
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 9    S 10   S 11   S 11   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (30000-63100) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (5100-38600) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 38
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (40000-82900).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 31 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 28 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...ERIC EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120412.FOSTE.01/MPX