FNUS73 KMPX 121143
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE CREEK NE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
643 AM CDT THU APR 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CENTER ITSELF OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...LEADING TO
A WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW TODAY. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY WITH RH VALUES DOWN IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS
WILL BE NO HIGHER THAN 12 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM
ARRIVES FROM THE PLAINS TONIGHT. TODAY WILL BE THE LAST RAIN-FREE
DAY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL
PROGRESS THROUGH THE REGION...BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-50600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (53400-64200) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     48     55     61     63     62
RH..............69     42     35     29     29     31
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 8    S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (29900-57800) DECREASING TO POOR
                    TO GOOD (5000-35500) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 39
                    MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (34600-85300).

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERONE
REQUESTED BY...ERIC EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120412.GOOSE.01/MPX