FNUS73 KMQT 121444 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR BARAGA RX BURN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1044 AM EDT THU APR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER AT THE FIRE SITE THROUGH MID MORNING ON FRIDAY. SUNNY SKIES AND STRONG MIXING THIS AFTERNOON WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MIDDLE 50S AT THE FIRE SITE WHILE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT AFTER 1400. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH TO NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 1300 AS A LAKE BREEZE MOVES IN OFF KEWEENAW BAY. CLEAR SKIES CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO AROUND 30 DEGREES WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERY AROUND 85 PERCENT. EXPECT INCREASING SOUTH WINDS ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH INCREASING MIDDLE CLOUDS AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES. IF ENOUGH SUNSHINE OCCURS INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY...TEMPERATURES WILL PUSH INTO THE LOWER 60S AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT. RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FIRE SITE LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT NOT UNTIL AFTER 1700. RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 0.10 TO 0.20 INCH RANGE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING NORTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (125) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (384). MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 6300-8100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3600-5400 FT AGL LATE. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........13 12 10 7 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 50 52 52 50 RH..............44 31 28 30 35 GENERAL WIND....N 3 N 5 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 GENERAL GUST....7 8 9 8 8 VINDX KT-FT/100.125 313 323 205 181 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 6300 8100 6800 3600 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 30. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 85 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 27 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........8 10 12 14 18 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 42 38 35 33 32 RH..............37 48 62 75 78 81 GENERAL WIND....E 6 E 6 SE 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 GENERAL GUST....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE VINDX KT-FT/100.144 61 15 40 43 11 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 600 100 300 300 100 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER 1300. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 60. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 34 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (276) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1161). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.02 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........28 50 62 65 80 89 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............32 43 55 59 58 56 RH..............81 58 45 38 38 41 GENERAL WIND....S 8 S 8 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 8 GENERAL GUST....13 15 18 18 16 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.50 612 1045 1082 1127 1161 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2600 4400 4900 5100 4800 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...PATRICIA DRAKE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120412.BARAG.02/MQT