FNUS71 KPHI 121753 FWSPHI SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPEWELL FIRE...DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 153 PM EDT THU APR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1344 EDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR AN HOUR OR TWO DURING MID AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH AND VERY DRY FINE FUELS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 28 TO 32 PERCENT RANGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINAL WIND AND HUMIDITY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH ISOLATED OR SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN NEW JERSEY AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA PRECLUDED A RED FLAG WARNING. HUMIDITY WILL BE LOWER TOMORROW AFTERNOON...CLEARLY IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE BUT NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 20 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY 30 TO 35 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NO SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED BEFORE NEXT TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A BATCH OF SHOWERS WITH UNDER ONE QUARTER INCH AMOUNTS SATURDAY NIGHT IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. HOT WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES WELL UP IN THE 80 IS OUTLOOKED EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH LOWER 80S POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY, WHILE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OUT OF CANADA AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST THROUGH FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL BUILD OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO EASTERN CANADA OVER THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT MAY STALL NEAR OUR AREA LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND MOVE TOWARD OUR AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. WIND SHIFT.......... SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............55 61 57 50 43 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 54 54 55 55 RH..................46 41 40 37 32 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......17 17 17 16 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 20 SURFACE WND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW SURFACE WND SPD.....17 17 17 16 14 SURFACE WND GST.....25 25 25 25 20 CWR.................10 10 10 0 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. WIND SHIFT.......... SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............36 25 21 15 10 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 54 50 47 44 37 RH..................34 36 44 51 55 72 20 FT WIND..........NW 12 NW 7 N 6 N 6 NW 5 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 5 SURFACE WIND........NW 12 NW 7 N 6 N 6 NW 5 N 3 SURFACE WND GST.....15 10 10 10 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. WIND SHIFT.......... SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............10 10 9 7 5 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 41 50 56 59 63 RH..................64 65 44 34 29 25 20 FT WIND..........N 3 N 5 NW 8 NW 9 NW 8 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 15 15 15 15 SURFACE WIND........N 3 N 5 NW 8 NW 9 NW 8 W 9 SURFACE WND GST.....5 15 15 15 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...DRAG REQUESTED BY...CHRIS ROHRBACH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120412.HOPEW.03/PHI