FNUS72 KTAE 121039
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLSVR-RX-7AND3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
639 AM EDT THU APR 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...DISPERSION VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE 75 OVER A
LARGE AREA OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON COINCIDENT WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. ERC VALUES ARE ALSO HIGH...
SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND BIG BEND TODAY. ELSEWHERE...LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 25 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA TODAY...SO A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THERE AS WELL. ALTHOUGH THE AIRMASS
WILL BE JUST AS DRY ACROSS SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...FUEL MOISTURE AND WINDS
NOT NOT MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA. FOR FRIDAY THE COMBINATION OF LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ALONG WITH HIGH ERC VALUES MAY
RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF INTERIOR
NORTH FLORIDA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........41     31     31     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     66     69     71     72
RH..............58     45     37     34     34
20 FT WIND......NE 8   NE 7   E 7    SE 6   W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING BECOMING NORTH 3
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........20     19     19     19     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     68     64     62     62     61
RH..............37     44     53     60     64     69
20 FT WIND......W 3    NW 2   N 2    N 4    NE 6   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     15     15

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........28     36     36     41     46     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     59     66     70     73     74
RH..............74     81     69     61     55     52
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 6   E 6    E 6    E 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     15     15

$$

FORECASTER...KEN GOULD
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER HINCKLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120412.FLSVR.02/TAE