FNUS73 KDTX 131334 FWSDTX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOULIHAN...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 934 AM EDT FRI APR 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 EDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS...CLEAR SKIES...AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAYTIME HOURS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW BRINGING A LATE AFTERNOON DIP IN MINIMUM RH VALUES TO 25 TO 35 PERCENT BEFORE DEEPER MOISTURE AND WETTER CONDITIONS MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES FOR THE BALANCE OF THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600). TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........5 9 13 17 21 24 27 30 33 41 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............38 44 51 55 59 62 64 65 65 64 63 RH..............76 59 47 39 33 29 28 26 25 26 29 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 3.0 4.4 5.4 6.1 6.6 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.7 5.6 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 VRATE (KT-FT)...100 100 200 300 300 400 500 500 500 600 600 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...100). TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........47 63 78 94 96 98 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 55 52 50 48 47 RH..............32 41 50 60 66 75 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 VRATE (KT-FT)...600 500 300 100 100 100 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MID AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...KOOK REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120413.HOULI.01/DTX