FNUS73 KFSD 141316 FWSFSD SPOT FORECAST FOR BROKEN KETTLE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 816 AM CDT SAT APR 14 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WHICH WILL BECOME RATHER STOUT BY MID AFTERNOON. BY 1PM...WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY AVERAGE 15 TO 20 MPH...BUT THEN GUSTINESS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WILL START TO SETTLE IN FROM 2 PM TO 6 PM. IT APPEARS NOW THAT THE RAIN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AROUND 2 PM OR SO. AS THE HUMIDITY DECREASES THIS MORNING...THIS MAY ALLOW A QUICK PRESCRIBED BURN TO TAKE PLACE IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WETTING RAINS TAKEOVER. WITH DECENT WINDS...SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD BE IN THE FAIR TO GOOD CATEGORY BY MIDDAY. AND FINALLY...THERE IS SOME FOG AND LOW STRATUS WELL OFF TO YOUR EAST AND SOUTH FROM STORM LAKE IOWA TO TECAMEH NEBRASKA. ALL INDICATIONS THAT WE ARE GETTING RIGHT NOW IS THAT THOSE LOW CLOUDS WILL STAY AWAY FROM YOUR AREA UNTIL THE RAIN MOVES IN THIS AFTERNOON. HOPEFULLY THIS TREND WILL HOLD. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR MCR PC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY % SKY COVER.....43 12 14 17 34 52 70 75 81 87 90 93 WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY NUM NUM OCL OCL NUM WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............44 49 54 58 61 64 66 68 69 70 68 66 RH..............96 86 77 72 67 63 61 57 57 57 63 70 DEWPOINT........43 45 47 49 50 51 52 52 53 54 55 56 20 FT WIND DIR..E E ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 6 8 10 13 15 17 18 20 21 20 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 20 25 30 30 30 30 SMOKE DISPERSAL.PR PR PR PR FR GD GD EX EX EX EX GD CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 60 60 80 80 60 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 2.8 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE ESE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 9 13 16 21 24 28 30 31 32 32 32 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY % SKY COVER.....96 93 78 52 51 47 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS OCNL SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 64 62 60 60 60 RH..............77 82 86 85 92 95 DEWPOINT........57 58 58 56 58 58 20 FT WIND......SE 20 SE 18 SE 16 SSE 13 SSE 15 S 16 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 15 20 25 SMOKE DISPERSAL.FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 90 40 40 20 .SUNDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY % SKY COVER.....40 47 54 61 70 79 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 58 61 63 63 60 RH..............83 66 54 54 49 53 DEWPOINT........53 47 44 46 44 43 20 FT WIND......S 15 SSW 20 SW 23 SW 23 W 24 W 26 20 FT WIND GUST.20 30 30 30 35 35 SMOKE DISPERSAL.POOR FAIR EXCEL EXCEL EXCEL EXCEL CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1300 3100 5600 5700 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 SSW 29 SSW 36 SW 33 SW 28 WSW 29 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 5 5 5 WEATHER TYPE ABBREVIATIONS 1) T = THUNDERSTORMS 2) R = RAIN 3) RW = RAIN SHOWERS 4) L = DRIZZLE 5) ZR = FREEZING RAIN 6) ZL = FREEZING DRIZZLE 7) S = SNOW 8) SW = SNOW SHOWERS 9) IP = ICE PELLETS 10) F = FOG 11) ZF = FREEZING FOG 12) IC = ICE CRYSTALS 13) H = HAZE 14) BS = BLOWING SNOW 15) K = SMOKE 16) BD = BLOWING DUST 17) FR = FROST $$ FORECASTER...MJF REQUESTED BY...KYLE LAPHAM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120414.BROKE.01/FSD