FNUS73 KGRR 141430
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MOONLIGHT UNIT 1...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1030 AM EDT SAT APR 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-3400
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 400-600
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) LATE IN THE DAY.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........59     67     74     64
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............59     62     66     65
RH..............65     63     63     65
20 FT WIND......SW 13  SW 13  SW 13  SW 11
20 FT GUST......25     20     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      3      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 19 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HUSCHKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120414.MOONL.01/GRR