FNUS73 KDDC 161116 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLE REFUGE...USFWS-QUIVIRA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 616 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND MIDDAY BEFORE SWITCHING TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES SHOULD BRING SOME WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS INTO THE AREA BY AROUND 2 OR 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COULD ALSO OCCUR. ANY SHOWERS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY VARIABLE GUSTY WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........23 32 38 50 54 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 58 62 64 64 RH..............58 48 44 43 47 20 FT WIND......N 9 N 3 NW 3 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST. EYE LEVEL WIND..N 7 N 2 NW 2 S 7 S 6 WIND GUST.. HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........55 48 39 32 32 31 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 55 52 49 47 45 RH..............49 63 72 79 86 91 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 WIND GUST.. 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 39 TO 48 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........31 25 19 14 14 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 52 60 67 70 71 RH..............94 75 61 52 48 48 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 14 S 18 S 22 S 23 S 23 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 30 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 11 S 14 S 18 S 18 S 18 WIND GUST..10 20 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...GERARD REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120416.MIDDL.01/DDC