FNUS73 KJKL 161519 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY KNOB...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1119 AM EDT MON APR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1111 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A GOOD CHANCE OF ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA BRINGING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS COULD POSSIBLY BECOME STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. THE FRONT WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT WILL WAVE BACK TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY EVENING BRINGING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO AREAS SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE 70S TODAY...AND THEN WILL BE DROPPING TO THE MID 60S ON TUESDAY AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF A LITTLE TONIGHT WITH LOWS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 50. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EARLY EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING. POP.................70 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4 UNTIL 1700...THEN 3 UNTIL 1800...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....135. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........51 71 86 77 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 72 72 71 RH..............66 64 59 57 20 FT WIND......SW 14 W 13 W 12 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........57 59 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 64 60 56 54 53 RH..............60 68 75 79 78 79 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 3 NW 3 N 3 N 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....18. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........63 66 67 68 66 65 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 58 62 65 66 65 RH..............80 61 50 45 42 42 20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 5 NE 6 N 6 NE 5 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DUSTY REQUESTED BY...DEWAYNE WRIGHT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120416.HICKO.01/JKL