FNUS73 KDMX 171216 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR EATON...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 716 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS TO BRING INCREASING MOISTURE AND WARMER AIR INTO THE AREA TODAY. SOME WEAK SHOWERS HEADING INTO NORTHWEST IOWA AT THIS TIME...SMALL POSSIBILITY THEY MAY MAKE IT INTO NORTH CENTRAL IOWA. OTHERWISE GREATER CHANCES FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM LATER TODAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2100-21500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (134800-175000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........55 56 57 58 58 58 58 62 69 72 73 74 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT TEMP............34 40 46 52 56 59 62 63 65 66 66 66 RH..............89 75 63 54 49 47 44 44 43 43 43 45 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 9 12 14 15 16 17 20 20 18 17 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 6 6 9 10 11 11 12 14 14 13 12 EYE LVL WND GST. 10 10 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.7 2.7 3.7 4.2 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.9 6.2 6.6 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..3 6 9 13 15 17 20 22 24 26 29 31 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (60900-186900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (9800-13600 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........74 78 82 86 73 55 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP............67 63 60 57 55 54 RH..............43 52 58 67 72 77 20 FT WIND......S 15 S 14 S 15 S 16 SW 17 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 11 S 10 S 11 S 11 SW 12 SW 10 EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....6900 2800 600 600 500 500 MIXNG WIND......S 31 S 25 S 24 S 28 S 30 SW 25 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (9000-72600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (36800-75100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........41 39 36 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............53 60 66 69 RH..............80 58 43 37 20 FT WIND......W 9G10 NW 10G15 NW 10G15 N 9G10 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 6G10 NW 7G15 NW 7G15 N 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....600 4200 6800 7700 MIXNG WIND......W 17 NW 16 NW 13 N 8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BEERENDS REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120417.EATON.01/DMX