FNUS73 KDMX 162155 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNION HILLS-BAILEY...IA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 455 PM CDT MON APR 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL TURN TO SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE GRADUALLY ON TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS BY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNRISE...BOTTOMING OUT AT 40 TO 50 PERCENT AFTER NOON. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-44200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (64300-122100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........51 53 55 56 57 60 63 66 69 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............49 52 55 58 60 62 63 63 63 RH..............61 56 53 49 47 44 44 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND GST.10 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.5 4.7 5.8 6.3 6.7 7.1 6.5 5.9 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..8 9 10 13 15 16 18 22 24 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (40700-115600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (6000-11800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........70 75 83 88 85 82 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP............62 59 57 55 54 53 RH..............52 60 67 72 74 77 20 FT WIND......S 16 S 15 S 15 S 14 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 20 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 11 S 11 S 11 S 10 S 9 S 9 EYE LVL WND GST.25 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 2200 600 500 300 400 MIXNG WIND......S 25 S 21 S 21 S 26 S 28 S 26 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71. RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (12200-49900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (66100-109500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........79 68 56 47 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............52 61 67 70 RH..............83 65 49 36 20 FT WIND......SW 13G15 W 14G20 W 14G20 W 15G20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 9G15 W 10G20 W 10G20 W 11G20 MIX HGT (FT)....600 3900 6600 7800 MIXNG WIND......SW 23 W 20 W 17 W 16 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...LEE REQUESTED BY...TODD WALROD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120417.UNION.01/DMX