FNUS72 KILM 171342
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR GODFREY FIRE...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
942 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0929 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH TO NEAR THE CAROLINA STATE LINE
EARLY THIS EVENING...DROPPING FARTHER SOUTH INTO EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA ON WEDNESDAY. COOLER AIR AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST SATURDAY WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING OVER THE CAROLINAS.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND WIND SPEED
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE AROUND 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO
                    12 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
MAX ADI.............29.
MAX LVORI...........5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1839-31969 MPH-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............5      13     29     39     54
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................70     77     82     83     81
RH..................79     59     49     47     51
20 FT WIND..........W 4    W 4    SW 4   S 5    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     15
EYE LEVEL WIND......W 3    W 3    SW 3   S 4    S 5
EYE LVL WND GST.....5      5      5      10     15
MIX HGT (FT)........600    1900   4000   4600   3300
TRANSPORT WIND......W 13   W 10   W 7    SW 6   SW 6
LVORI...............4      2      2      2      2
ADI.................10     24     26     23     19
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...8      19     27     26     19

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (60-70 PERCENT) BY LATE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............55     58     64     69     77     77
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............       S CHC
TEMP................79     72     66     63     62     61
RH..................56     70     80     83     83     83
20 FT WIND..........S 6    SE 4   E 4    E 4    E 4    NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND......S 5    SE 3   E 3    E 3    E 3    NE 3
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...HAWKINS
REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120417.GODFR.01/ILM