FNUS73 KMPX 171305 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR STOWE LAKE...FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 805 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS BY EARLY EVENING. LOOK FOR INCREASING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW ALONG WITH AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS DURING THE DAY. THE LOW WILL REACH THE STOWE LAKE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND THEN THE DULUTH ARE BY MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. DRYING WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE LOW. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH...GUSTS TO TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-45500) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50500-94000) LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4200-6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............34 42 50 56 58 57 RH..............80 60 49 41 39 53 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 8 S 12 S 15 S 16 SE 14 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 20 22 24 15 HAINES INDEX....2 3 4 4 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3700-31900). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 22 TO 31 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17 TO 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH....GUSTS 20 MPH TIL NOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (46300-86500). MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 25 TO 32 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 12 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...PAULSON REQUESTED BY...TROY BOSCHEE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120417.STOWE.01/MPX