FNUS71 KRNK 171346
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHE NCFS...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
946 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT HAS DRIFTED SOUTH OF THE AREA. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL BE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND UNDER 15 MPH. FLOW ABOVE 5000 FEET SHOULD
TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AS A STORM SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN
THIS EVENING. A FEW STRAY SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON BUT
COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS UNDER 0.05 OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 7
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............39     60     78     89
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60     62     64     65
RH..................64     54     49     45
20 FT WIND..........NW 2   NW 4   NW 5   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     15
CWR.................20     30     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN...MAINLY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............93     97     97     98     100    100
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63     59     55     52     50     48
RH..................49     55     59     65     74     78
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 3   NE 2   E 2    E 2    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5
CWR.................30     40     40     60     70     90

$$
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...BRENT TRIPLETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120417.ASHEN.01/RNK