FNUS71 KCTP 181056 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR CACR WSG RX BURN...BOF, FD#6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 656 AM EDT WED APR 18 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK SW FLOW ALOFT AND MAINLY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA AT THE SURFACE WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BE LIGHT...WITH INCREASED MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE...AND LOW TO MID CLOUDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION. A WEAK LOW MOVING NORTH ALONG THE COAST WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ALONG THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF PENNSYLVANIA...EXTENDING AS FAR NORTHWARD AS HARRISBURG. ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT. EXPECT RH/S TO FALL INTO THE MID 20S ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL ELEVATE ANY FIRE WEATHER THREAT...THOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............81 79 76 84 82 82 74 67 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 53 54 55 56 57 58 58 RH..................50 44 42 41 39 39 39 38 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.4 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.4 6.1 6.5 6.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E SE S SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 1 2 5 6 8 10 12 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM MIX HGT (KFT).......5.7 4.6 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 9 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120418.CACRW.01/CTP