FNUS73 KAPX 191219 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BRITTLE 10...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 819 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 EDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE SWEEPING OVERHEAD THIS MORNING WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME EARLY DAY SUN. HOWEVER...THE TREND THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE FOR THICKENING CLOUDS. LOW PRESSURE WILL BE LIFTING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLY DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RAIN WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE BURN SITE AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY. HUMIDITIES ARE OBVIOUSLY NOT AN ISSUE FROM A DRYNESS PERSPECTIVE...AND WINDS WILL JUST GRADUALLY SWING AROUND FROM NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (400). TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........77 79 82 89 92 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN TEMP............55 56 57 57 56 RH..............47 45 45 45 49 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 2 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 400 300 200 200 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........94 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............53 50 46 44 41 40 39 39 39 39 39 39 RH..............54 61 68 70 76 79 82 85 85 89 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E NE NE NE E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...TIM LOCKER REQUESTED BY...BSTEARNS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120419.BRITT.01/APX