FNUS73 KAPX 191059 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR RED TROUT...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 659 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE SWEEPING OVERHEAD THIS MORNING WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME EARLY DAY SUN. HOWEVER...THE TREND THROUGH THE DAY WILL BE FOR THICKENING CLOUDS...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL BE LIFTING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND THEN ACROSS THE THUMB OF LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF WEATHER FOR THE DAY EXCEPT FOE SOME LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLY DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RAIN WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE BURN SITE AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY. HUMIDITIES ARE OBVIOUSLY NOT AN ISSUE FROM A DRYNESS PERSPECTIVE...AND WINDS WILL JUST GRADUALLY SWING AROUND FROM NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY COULD BE AS HIGH AS A COUPLE OF INCHES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (300). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........70 70 72 77 79 82 89 92 WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN TEMP............50 51 53 55 56 57 57 55 RH..............63 56 52 49 49 49 51 55 20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 4 3 SMOKE DISP......300 300 300 200 100 100 200 300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........94 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............53 49 46 43 41 40 39 39 39 39 40 40 RH..............59 66 71 76 82 82 85 89 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON REQUESTED BY...BSTEARNS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120419.REDTR.01/APX