FNUS73 KDLH 191703
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DURFEE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1203 PM CDT THU APR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RATHER THICK BATCH OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY THIN
THIS AFTERNOON...REVEALING A FAIR AMOUNT OF FILTERED SUNSHINE. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT...STARTING AS SOUTH...AND BECOMING MORE
EAST AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE A BIT TRICKY FOR
THAT LOCATION...AS THEY WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH CLOSER TO THE LAKE.
DUE TO THE INLAND LOCATION AND LIGHT WINDS...THINK RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL LIKELY DROP TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. ANOTHER 10 MILES INLAND
AND THEY MAY DROP TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT. CLOSER TO THE LAKE...THEY
MAY REMAIN IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. IF YOU HAVE ANY ISSUES
AT ALL...JUST GIVE ME A CALL. WILL BE HAPPY TO HELP! THE FORECAST
FOR FRIDAY IS A BIT TRICKY AS WELL...AS A VERY LOCALIZED UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLIDE INTO THE TIP OF THE MINNESOTA
ARROWHEAD. MODEL FORECASTS HINT AT A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS...AND
THINK THERE MAY INDEED BE SOME GIVEN LATEST INFORMATION. A BIT
HIGHER WINDS OFF LAKE SUPERIOR SHOULD KEEP HUMIDITY VALUES HIGHER.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    4 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19500).

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............50     51     47
RH..............42     39     44
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     E
20 FT WIND SPD..4      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST.7      7      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10500) DECREASING TO POOR (4300) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............41     35     33     31     30     29
RH..............55     60     66     72     78     81
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     NE     NE     N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD..4      5      5      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      6      8      9      12     12

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (23800) INCREASING TO GOOD (52600) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (32000)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (16100) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............29     33     37     40     42     42
RH..............81     75     64     57     53     55
20 FT WIND DIR..N      NE     NE     E      NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5      6      6      6      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     12     12     8      6

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN P.
REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120419.DURFE.01/DLH