FNUS73 KGRR 191410
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ORV SPLIT...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1010 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING THIS MORNING OVER NORTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. THESE SHOWERS WILL FILL IN
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY AND LIFT NORTH INTO CENTRAL LOWER
MICHIGAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...WITH A HEAVIER STEADY RAIN
DEVELOPING AFTER 400 PM TO 500 PM. A STEADY MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH RAINFALL
POTENTIALLY ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. THE RAIN WILL END FROM
WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY. A CHANCE FOR AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM IN A
LARGER AREA OF RAIN EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........71     72     82     91
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE OCNL   OCNL   OCNL
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............51     55     59     56
RH..............58     53     52     60
20 FT WIND......N 11   N 11   NE 11  NE 12
20 FT GUST......15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120419.ORVSP.01/GRR