FNUS73 KGRR 191411
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINORA...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1011 AM EDT THU APR 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING THIS MORNING OVER NORTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. THESE SHOWERS WILL FILL IN
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY AND LIFT NORTH INTO CENTRAL LOWER
MICHIGAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...WITH A HEAVIER STEADY RAIN
DEVELOPING AFTER 400 PM TO 500 PM. A STEADY MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH RAINFALL
POTENTIALLY ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. THE RAIN WILL END FROM
WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY. A CHANCE FOR AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM IN A
LARGER AREA OF RAIN EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........70     72     81     90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE OCNL   OCNL   OCNL
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............53     58     62     57
RH..............60     51     47     59
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 9    N 10   NE 11
20 FT GUST......10     10            15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120419.PINOR.01/GRR