FNUS74 KLZK 191427 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ACHMUN CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 927 AM CDT THU APR 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL INCREASE SOME AT THE BURN SITE TODAY...BUT STILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL WELL AFTER DARK WITH CHANCES INCREASING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............70 73 76 78 79 79 RH..............47 40 38 36 34 35 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 20 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............79 77 73 69 66 64 63 62 61 60 58 57 RH..............36 39 45 52 58 62 66 70 73 76 79 83 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 18 16 15 13 13 12 10 9 8 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............57 56 58 59 60 61 63 64 65 66 67 66 RH..............84 85 81 77 73 69 66 63 60 58 55 58 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW W W NW N N N N N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W NW NW N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 14 15 15 15 15 16 17 20 22 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 70 70 70 70 70 80 80 80 80 80 $$ FORECASTER...R SIMPSON REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120419.ACHMU.01/LZK