FNUS71 KCTP 201305 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR PA-ALF-FR 492-494...ALLEGHENY NATIONAL FOREST/USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 905 AM EDT FRI APR 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL PROVIDE FAIR AND WARM WEATHER TODAY. MOISTURE INCREASING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............54 55 57 58 59 59 58 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................61 65 66 68 70 70 70 70 RH..................53 46 43 40 38 39 39 40 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......10 12 13 14 14 14 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.2 5.9 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....21 24 25 24 24 24 25 25 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING WEST 7 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............57 68 64 74 81 86 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 66 63 60 57 53 RH..................42 47 54 62 71 79 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 8 S 7 SW 7 SW 6 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........5100 3800 1300 300 1000 1200 TRANSPORT WIND......S 26 S 24 S 17 S 12 SW 9 W 7 LAL.................1 2 2 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............93 99 92 91 94 84 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 46 45 47 48 49 RH..................84 86 77 69 63 58 20 FT WIND..........W 6 NW 6 SW 8 SW 9 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1200 1000 1300 1600 1800 2200 TRANSPORT WIND......W 8 NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 NW 10 N 12 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO REQUESTED BY...DIANA EMMONS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120420.PAALF.01/CTP